Yale acceptance rate
Yale's acceptance rate has fallen below 4% as applications surged. Five-year history, the resolution sources markets use, and what to watch.
New Haven, CT
At a glance
Yale admitted 3.8% of applicants for the Class of 2029 — down from 4.60% for the Class of 2025. Prediction markets on next cycle's rate settle on the No exchange currently lists a market onYale's acceptance rate — this page is reported data, not odds.At a glance
Yale's acceptance rate is 3.8% for the Class of 2029 — the most recent officially reported figure.
Yale on Ivy Day: sub-4% odds, the YDN scoop drop, and a Class of 2029 that quietly tied the lowest rate on record.
What is Yale's acceptance rate?
Yale's latest reported acceptance rate is 3.8% for the Class of 2029, from roughly 50,000 applications and ~2,000 admits. Yale Daily News breaks the number on Ivy Day and the Office of Undergraduate Admissions confirms within hours.
Five-year history
| Class | Acceptance rate |
|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.60% |
| 2026 | 4.60% |
| 2027 | 4.10% |
| 2028 | 3.80% |
| 2029 | 3.80% |
Prediction markets on Yale
No live markets yet. The Yale Daily News + Office of Undergraduate Admissions combo gives clean Ivy-Day resolution; we expect Yale-specific contracts to list as Kalshi expands its college coverage.
Sources & further reading
- IPEDS — Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (opens in a new tab)National Center for Education Statistics
- Common Data Set Initiative (opens in a new tab)Common Data Set Initiative
- U.S. News Best Colleges rankings methodology (opens in a new tab)U.S. News & World Report
Frequently asked questions
What is Yale's acceptance rate?
Yale's most recently reported acceptance rate is 3.8% for the Class of 2029.
Has Yale's acceptance rate been falling?
Over the last five reported cycles, Yale's rate has moved from 4.60% (Class of 2025) to 3.8% (Class of 2029).
Can you bet on Yale's acceptance rate on a prediction market?
No. As of 2026-09-18, neither Kalshi nor Polymarket lists a market on Yale's acceptance rate. The listed college markets today are football and basketball boards plus Kalshi contracts on US News rankings, UC tuition and student debt.
