College basketball prediction markets
Last reviewed 2026-08-07
At a glance
College basketball prediction markets list from the start of the season in November and peak in March. The 2026-27 season opens November 6 with Michigan vs UConn; Florida and Duke are the co-favorites for the 2027 national title.
The NCAA tournament is the single largest college market on Polymarket — more than $27 million traded on last season's champion alone. This is where we track it, from opening night through Selection Sunday to the final.
Last updated 2026-08-18
Catie Di StefanoFounder & Editor-in-Chief
Reviewed by Catie Di Stefano
● Live on Polymarket
NCAA Tournament Winner — live odds
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Guides and odds trackers
2026-27 season: the two biggest games
Michigan vs UConn in Boston, the Champions Classic, and where the 2027 title board opens.
How to trade March Madness
Bracket markets, seed props and the mechanics of trading the tournament contract by contract.
What last March's markets got right
How prediction market prices tracked the 2026 bracket — and where they beat the polls.
Prediction markets explained
How a contract priced at 26% actually works, and why that number is a probability.
What lists during a college basketball season
Between seasons the board is thin. These are the markets that ran in 2026 and are expected back for 2026-27:
- NCAA Tournament Winner$27M traded in 2026 — the deepest college market of the year
- Women's NCAA Tournament Winner$230K in 2026
- Conference tournament winnersACC, SEC, Big Ten, Big 12 and mid-major brackets
- National champion conference$112K in 2026
- Most Outstanding Player$293K in 2026
- Bracket propsPerfect bracket, buzzer beaters, double-digit seed runs, #1 seed wins
Sources & further reading
- CFTC — Event contracts explainedU.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission
- Kalshi — how prices and settlement workKalshi
- UMA Optimistic Oracle documentationUMA Protocol