About this site

CollegePredictionMarkets.com is an independent publication covering every prediction market about US college admissions, rankings, leadership, and higher-ed policy. We track live contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket and explain how they work.

What we cover

One narrow beat: prediction markets where the underlying event is something about US higher education. Admit rates, rankings, presidential exits, federal-funding fights, legacy-admission bans, accreditation disputes. If a market exists, we list it on the markets page. If a market should exist, we put it on our watchlist.

Who runs this site

CollegePredictionMarkets.com is edited by Catie Di Stefano, Founder & Editor-in-Chief. Catie Di Stefano has spent 15 years working with online gambling across some of the most regulated and competitive gambling markets in the world. Starting at Betsson Group in Malta in 2011, she has in recent years worked her way through VIP management, CRM, gamification and marketing leadership across European and North American operations. Catie was a licensed consultancy for Hard Rock Casino in New Jersey, where she held a DGE vendor license and owned the execution of the online CRM program from launch day in 2018.

She has moderated panels and shared stages with US senators, regulators, C-level executives and industry leaders at conferences across North America, Europe and Africa.

Editorial standards

  • Every claim is traceable to a public source (university release, Common Data Set, court filing, regulator filing). Stats carry a date.
  • We don't run sponsored posts and partners never review content before publication. See our disclosure.
  • We use real names for venues (Kalshi, Polymarket) under nominative fair use — we are not affiliated with them.
  • When markets resolve, we publish a resolution post explaining what happened.
  • Corrections are posted on the page they affect and noted in the change log.

Methodology

Where prices come from. Market odds on this site are pulled from the public order books of the venues themselves — Kalshi and Polymarket — not from a sportsbook feed or a third-party aggregator. A contract quoted at 42¢ means the market is pricing the outcome at roughly a 42% chance. Prices are point-in-time: we refresh live figures on page load and note the timestamp where a number is time-sensitive. Between refreshes, odds move — treat any quoted price as a snapshot, not a guarantee.

Resolution standards. A market only earns coverage here if its resolution source is unambiguous and public — an official university release, a Common Data Set filing, a court docket, a regulator posting, or the venue's own stated resolution criteria. Where a market's resolution language is vague or disputed, we say so plainly rather than quoting a price as if it were settled fact.

How claims get vetted. Every factual claim is checked by Catie Di Stefano against a primary source before publication. Statistics carry a date; regulatory statements are tied to the specific rule or filing they rest on. On the legal and regulatory beat we work from the CFTC framework directly — event contracts on Kalshi trade on a CFTC-regulated designated contract market, and we describe that framework as it is written, not as marketing copy paraphrases it.

Press

Journalists and editors have referenced our market tracking and explainers. As coverage grows, this is where it will live:

As featured in

  • Chronicle of Higher Education
  • Inside Higher Ed
  • Bloomberg
  • Forbes
  • Legal Sports Report

Press enquiries: press@collegepredictionmarkets.com

How we make money

Affiliate commissions from prediction-market venues, plus (eventually) sponsored placements in the newsletter clearly marked as such. Affiliate links carry rel="sponsored nofollow" per FTC guidelines. Full detail in Affiliate & Editorial Disclosure.

What this site is not

  • Not a sportsbook, not a casino, not a broker.
  • Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Event contracts are speculative and can go to zero.
  • Not affiliated with any university referenced on this site.

Contact

Tips, corrections, or partnership questions: editor@collegepredictionmarkets.com.

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