About this site

Who we are, how we cover prediction markets on college admissions, rankings and policy, our editorial standards, and how we make money.

At a glance

CollegePredictionMarkets is an independent editorial site covering prediction markets aimed at college topics — who writes it, how we source data, and how we make money.

CollegePredictionMarkets.com is an independent publication covering every prediction market about US college admissions, rankings, leadership, and higher-ed policy. We track live contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket and explain how they work.

What we cover

One narrow beat: prediction markets where the underlying event is something about US higher education. Admit rates, rankings, presidential exits, federal-funding fights, legacy-admission bans, accreditation disputes. If a market exists, we list it on the markets page. If a market should exist, we put it on our watchlist.

Who runs this site

CollegePredictionMarkets.com is edited by Catie Di Stefano, Founder & Editor-in-Chief. Catie Di Stefano got her start in the gambling industry at 19, moving to Malta for what was meant to be a temporary job — a path into the industry she hadn't originally planned. Fifteen years later, after roles at Betsson Group and Gaming Innovation Group, an independent consultancy spanning brands from Marbella to Atlantic City, and building the OnlineGamblers.com brand from scratch, she's covered the college sports betting landscape directly — including a Next.io feature on banning proposition bets for college students in the US.

She writes CollegePredictionMarkets for readers figuring out, the same way she once did, how a regulated market actually works from the inside.

Editorial standards

  • Every claim is traceable to a public source (university release, Common Data Set, court filing, regulator filing). Stats carry a date.
  • We don't run sponsored posts and partners never review content before publication. See our disclosure.
  • We use real names for venues (Kalshi, Polymarket) under nominative fair use — we are not affiliated with them.
  • When markets resolve, we publish a resolution post explaining what happened.
  • Corrections are posted on the page they affect and noted in the change log.

Methodology

Where prices come from. Market odds on this site are pulled from the public order books of the venues themselves — Kalshi and Polymarket — not from a sportsbook feed or a third-party aggregator. A contract quoted at 42¢ means the market is pricing the outcome at roughly a 42% chance. Prices are point-in-time: we refresh live figures on page load and note the timestamp where a number is time-sensitive. Between refreshes, odds move — treat any quoted price as a snapshot, not a guarantee.

Resolution standards. A market only earns coverage here if its resolution source is unambiguous and public — an official university release, a Common Data Set filing, a court docket, a regulator posting, or the venue's own stated resolution criteria. Where a market's resolution language is vague or disputed, we say so plainly rather than quoting a price as if it were settled fact.

How claims get vetted. Every factual claim is checked by Catie Di Stefano against a primary source before publication. Statistics carry a date; regulatory statements are tied to the specific rule or filing they rest on. On the legal and regulatory beat we work from the CFTC (opens in a new tab) framework directly — event contracts on Kalshi trade on a CFTC-regulated designated contract market, and we describe that framework as it is written, not as marketing copy paraphrases it.

Press

Press enquiries: press@collegepredictionmarkets.com

How we make money

Affiliate commissions from prediction-market venues, plus (eventually) sponsored placements in the newsletter clearly marked as such. Affiliate links carry rel="sponsored nofollow" per FTC guidelines. Full detail in Affiliate & Editorial Disclosure.

What this site is not

  • Not a sportsbook, not a casino, not a broker.
  • Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Event contracts are speculative and can go to zero.
  • Not affiliated with any university referenced on this site.

Contact

Tips, corrections, or partnership questions: editor@collegepredictionmarkets.com.

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