Live from Ivy Day

What does the
market think
about your school?

Live odds on admit rates, rankings, and the campus discourse pulled straight from Kalshi and Polymarket.

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● College Sports

What's moving today

Updated

College Sports

Kalshi

Will the SEC win the College Football Playoff National Championship?

YES42¢

NO58¢

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College Sports

Polymarket

Will a No. 1 seed win the men's March Madness tournament?

YES55¢

NO45¢

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College Sports

Kalshi

Will a quarterback win the Heisman Trophy?

YES68¢

NO32¢

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College Sports

Polymarket

Will the national champion finish the season undefeated?

YES31¢

NO69¢

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College Sports

Kalshi

Will a double-digit seed reach the Final Four?

YES47¢

NO53¢

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College Sports

Polymarket

Will the Big Ten produce the College Football Playoff champion?

YES38¢

NO62¢

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● Primer

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● Backlog

On our watchlist

Markets that don't exist yet but lowkey should. The big one we're tracking: Ivy League acceptance odds.

Admissions & Selectivity

Watchlist

Will Harvard's Class of 2031 acceptance rate be below 3.5%?

Harvard's acceptance rate for the Class of 2029 was 3.6%. The trend has been steadily downward for a decade, and applications continue to climb. This market asks whether the next reported number crosses below 3.5% — a psychological threshold that would draw national attention.

Resolves Mar 27, 2027Watching →

Rankings & Reputation

Watchlist

Will Princeton hold #1 in US News National Universities for 2027?

Princeton has held the #1 spot in US News & World Report's National Universities ranking for years. This market asks whether the streak continues into the 2027 edition, expected in late September 2026. MIT and Harvard are the most likely challengers if it falls.

Resolves Sep 30, 2026Watching →

Admissions & Selectivity

Watchlist

Will the Common App report more than 9 million submissions for the 2026-27 application cycle?

The Common Application reported over 8 million submissions in the 2025-26 cycle, up from 7.1 million the year before. Application volume keeps growing as students apply to more schools per cycle. This market tests whether the growth crosses 9 million for 2026-27.

Resolves Aug 31, 2027Watching →

University Leadership & Governance

Watchlist

Will Harvard reach a settlement with the Trump administration on federal funding before December 31, 2026?

Harvard is in active dispute with the federal government over multi-billion-dollar research funding cuts and Title VI investigations. This market asks whether the dispute reaches a formal resolution before the end of 2026.

Resolves Dec 31, 2026Watching →

University Leadership & Governance

Watchlist

Will any Top-10 US News-ranked university announce a new president before December 31, 2026?

University president churn has been historically high — Penn's Magill, Harvard's Gay, Columbia's Shafik, Stanford's Tessier-Lavigne. This market aggregates the question into a single binary: does any Top-10 school announce a presidential change before year-end 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026Watching →

Admissions & Selectivity

Watchlist