Super Bowl 2027 Odds: Live Prediction Market Tracker
Published 2026-06-22 · Last reviewed 2026-09-18
TL;DR
- Prediction-market prices are the cleanest read on Super Bowl 2027 odds — price equals implied probability.
- Odds update as the 2026 NFL season unfolds; futures prices move every week.
- Trade Super Bowl markets on Polymarket (widest menu) or Kalshi (US-regulated).
New to this? Read this first
Prediction markets price events in cents, not odds. Here is the vocabulary used on this page, in plain English.
- Price = probability
- A contract that pays $1 trading at 12¢ means the market thinks there's a 12% chance.
- YES / NO share
- YES pays $1 if it happens. NO pays $1 if it doesn't. You can never lose more than you paid.
- Implied chance
- Just the price read as a percentage. A contract at 14¢ implies a 14% chance.
- Vig
- A built-in margin some venues charge. On prediction markets you pay the spread and fees instead.
- Liquidity
- How much money is in the market. More money means you can get in and out at the price you see.
The cleanest read on Super Bowl 2027 odds comes from prediction markets, where each team's price equals the market's implied probability of winning the title. The tracker below pulls live prices.
● Live on Polymarket
Live Super Bowl 2027 championship odds
How to read these odds
Each team trades at a price between $0.01 and $0.99. A contract at $0.10 implies a 10% chance of winning the Super Bowl. Buy a Yes contract and, if that team wins, each contract pays $1 — your profit is the difference. New to this? See prediction markets explained.
Why futures markets work differently here
On a prediction market you trade against other people at live prices, and you can sell your position before the season ends instead of waiting for the game to settle it.
Where to trade these markets
18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
18+ only. New traders only. Offer terms are set by ProphetX and may change. Event contract trading involves risk, including loss of the funds you commit. ProphetX is a CFTC-regulated designated contract market and derivatives clearing organization. Not available in all states.
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Where to trade
For the widest set of Super Bowl markets, use Polymarket; for CFTC-regulated US contracts, use Kalshi.
Also see live college football championship odds.
Price → probability → payout
- Implied chance
- 14.0%
- Contracts
- 143
- Pays back
- $142.86
- Profit if right
- $122.86
A contract settles at $1 if the event happens and $0 if it doesn't, so the price is the market's probability. Every contract you buy at this price pays $1 — the cheaper the price, the less likely the market thinks it is.
Your first trade, step by step
- Fund a small balanceOpen an account, verify your ID, and deposit $10–$20 by debit or ACH. You must be 18+ and in an eligible state.
- Find the marketSearch the event by team, player or headline. Check the price and the volume — thin markets move a lot on small orders.
- Read the price as a probabilityA 23¢ YES contract means the market gives it about a 23% chance. If you think it is higher than that, YES is the value side.
- Place a limit orderEnter the price you want rather than taking the market. You buy shares, not a bet slip — the most you can lose is what you paid.
- Decide your exitYou can sell any time before the event resolves, or hold to settlement where each winning share pays $1.
Ready to try it: open Polymarket. 18+, eligible states only. Trade what you can afford to lose.
Sources & further reading
- NFL — official siteNational Football League
- Kalshi — official siteKalshi
Frequently asked questions
What are the Super Bowl 2027 odds?
On prediction markets, each team's Super Bowl 2027 odds are shown as a price between $0.01 and $0.99, which equals its implied probability of winning the championship. The live tracker above reflects current market prices.
How do prediction-market Super Bowl odds work?
You buy a contract on a team to win the Super Bowl. The price is the market's implied probability — a contract at $0.12 implies a 12% chance. If the team wins, each contract pays $1.
Where can I trade Super Bowl 2027 futures?
Polymarket has the widest selection of Super Bowl markets; Kalshi offers CFTC-regulated US event contracts. Rebet is a mobile-first sports option in 40 states plus D.C.
When do Super Bowl 2027 odds move the most?
Futures prices shift throughout the 2026 NFL season — after the schedule release, on injury news, and most sharply during the playoffs. Buying early often means a lower price.
What does the price actually mean?
A contract settles at $1 if the event happens and $0 if it doesn't, so the price is the market's probability. A contract at 23¢ means roughly a 23% chance, and $1 buys about 4.3 shares.
How much money do I need to start?
You can place a real trade with $10–$20. Contracts are priced in cents, so a $20 balance buys dozens of shares on a cheap market. Start small until you have seen a position settle.
Related reading
Independent coverage. Some outbound links are affiliate links — see footer disclosure.