UChicago acceptance rate
The University of Chicago stopped publicizing acceptance rates in 2018. Reconstructed history, what changed, and the markets we're watching.
Chicago, IL
At a glance
UChicago admitted 5.4% of applicants for the Class of 2029 — down from 6.20% for the Class of 2025. Prediction markets on next cycle's rate settle on the No exchange currently lists a market onUChicago's acceptance rate — this page is reported data, not odds.At a glance
UChicago's acceptance rate is 5.4% for the Class of 2029 — the most recent officially reported figure.
UChicago turned "where fun goes to die" into a single-digit admit rate in basically a decade.
What is UChicago's acceptance rate?
The University of Chicago's most recently estimated acceptance rate is approximately 5.4% for the Class of 2029. UChicago stopped issuing admissions press releases in 2018; the figure is reconstructed from the annual Common Data Set, which confirms the previous year's number.
Five-year history (estimated)
| Class | Acceptance rate |
|---|---|
| 2025 | ~6.2% |
| 2026 | ~5.4% |
| 2027 | ~5.4% |
| 2028 | ~5.4% |
| 2029 | ~5.4% |
What's driving the trend
UChicago has aggressively grown its Early Decision and ED II programs, locking in yield and reducing the apparent regular-decision admit rate. The decision to stop publicizing the number is itself a strategic move — opacity makes ranking comparisons harder.
Prediction markets on UChicago
The interesting market: does UChicago resume publishing an acceptance rate? Until it does, any contract resolves from Common Data Set filings released the following spring.
Sources & further reading
- IPEDS — Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (opens in a new tab)National Center for Education Statistics
- Common Data Set Initiative (opens in a new tab)Common Data Set Initiative
- U.S. News Best Colleges rankings methodology (opens in a new tab)U.S. News & World Report
Frequently asked questions
What is UChicago's acceptance rate?
UChicago's most recently reported acceptance rate is 5.4% for the Class of 2029.
Has UChicago's acceptance rate been falling?
Over the last five reported cycles, UChicago's rate has moved from 6.20% (Class of 2025) to 5.4% (Class of 2029).
Can you bet on UChicago's acceptance rate on a prediction market?
No. As of 2026-09-18, neither Kalshi nor Polymarket lists a market on UChicago's acceptance rate. The listed college markets today are football and basketball boards plus Kalshi contracts on US News rankings, UC tuition and student debt.
