Will Yale's Early Decision acceptance rate drop below 8%?
Yale's SCEA admit rate has fallen for five straight years. The next round is the one that could break 8% — and nobody's pricing it. Not yet listed on…
At a glance
This market is on our watchlist — it isn't yet listed on Kalshi or Polymarket. We'll surface live odds here as soon as a contract is created. Expected resolution window: 2026-12-15.
The editorial take
Yale's SCEA admit rate has fallen for five straight years. The next round is the one that could break 8% — and nobody's pricing it.
How this market resolves
Not yet listed on Kalshi or Polymarket. Resolution criteria will be locked when a market is created on either platform.
Resolution source
Yale Daily News / Yale Office of Undergraduate Admissions
Sources & further reading
- CFTC: contracts and products (opens in a new tab)U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission
- Kalshi: how prices and settlement workKalshi
- UMA Optimistic Oracle documentation (opens in a new tab)UMA Protocol
Frequently asked questions
What does "Yale ED < 8%" resolve on?
Not yet listed on Kalshi or Polymarket. Resolution criteria will be locked when a market is created on either platform.
When does this market resolve?
Resolution is expected by 2026-12-15. Source: Yale Daily News / Yale Office of Undergraduate Admissions.
Where can I trade it?
This market is not yet listed. We're tracking Kalshi and Polymarket and will update this page when a contract appears.
