Live odds on admit rates, rankings, and the campus discourse pulled straight from Kalshi and Polymarket.
18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
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Last reviewed 2026-08-07
New traders only · 47 states + D.C.
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
iOS app only · available in 49 states + D.C.
18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
Mobile app only · available in 40 states + D.C.
Every non-sports college market we can verify as listed on an exchange right now. Open each one on the exchange for the live price.
Eight separate contracts on which borderline universities — Carnegie Mellon, WashU, Michigan, Notre Dame among them — land inside the US News top 20 in the next edition.
Eleven per-school contracts on whether a named university falls in the next US News release. Caltech, Columbia, UCLA and Notre Dame are all listed separately.
A ladder of threshold contracts (above $16,000, above $16,100 and up) on what the University of California sets as base systemwide tuition for 2027–28.
Threshold contracts from $1.84 trillion upward on the total federal and private student loan balance reported for the end of 2026.
The closest thing to a live admissions market: a single binary on whether Yale reaches a settlement with the Department of Justice over Law School admissions before January 1, 2027.
Five named contracts — JT Toppin, AJ Dybantsa, Darryn Peterson, Sarah Strong and the field — on who fronts EA's next college basketball game.
A 15-second explainer. Tap sound on for narration, or read the full breakdown.
Questions no exchange lists yet — nothing here is tradeable. Background on the biggest gap: Ivy League acceptance odds.
Harvard's acceptance rate for the Class of 2029 was 3.6%. The trend has been steadily downward for a decade, and applications continue to climb. This market asks whether the next reported number crosses below 3.5% — a psychological threshold that would draw national attention.
Princeton has held the #1 spot in US News & World Report's National Universities ranking for years. This market asks whether the streak continues into the 2027 edition, expected in late September 2026. MIT and Harvard are the most likely challengers if it falls.
The Common Application reported over 8 million submissions in the 2025-26 cycle, up from 7.1 million the year before. Application volume keeps growing as students apply to more schools per cycle. This market tests whether the growth crosses 9 million for 2026-27.
Harvard is in active dispute with the federal government over multi-billion-dollar research funding cuts and Title VI investigations. This market asks whether the dispute reaches a formal resolution before the end of 2026.
University president churn has been historically high — Penn's Magill, Harvard's Gay, Columbia's Shafik, Stanford's Tessier-Lavigne. This market aggregates the question into a single binary: does any Top-10 school announce a presidential change before year-end 2026?
Yale's SCEA admit rate has fallen for five straight years. The next round is the one that could break 8% — and nobody's pricing it.
Colorado and Virginia moved first. A handful of legislatures have bills in committee but no live market.
MIT's yield has crept up quietly for a decade. The number deserves a market and doesn't have one.
Five years of reported admit rates. No exchange lists per-school acceptance rates yet — these pages are data, not markets.
The number is down 40% in a decade. The discourse is up by orders of magnitude.
By the Editors · November 12, 2025
